{"contentId":"1769874","authorDomain":"chucktodd"}

Newsvine Q&A: Chuck Todd on U.S. Politics

The following is a summary of the Questions and Answers, pulled from the Newsvine comment thread below:

Chuck, every major website, as I write this, has, on the front of it, the story of McCain's admission that he doesn't know how many homes he owns. Do you think this is going to be a problem and affect the way people see him now as a candidate? Because I personally see it as close to insane for someone running for president of the United States to not know. It seems, with all his gaffes, that he's really beginning to show either his age, or his intelligence; and probably a little of both.

-Mike Rupert

McCain's answer on the homes definitely gave Obama an opening... it was a gaffe, the question is how big. The response by the McCain camp and the RNC makes me think they are very nervous about this gaffe. they have unloaded on Obama today with Rezko and Ayres...

Hey Chuck,

I enjoy watching your segments on the MSNBC and NBC news programs. In my opinion you have become America's resident political statistician. Anyhow, I have been following politics for the past eight years, I even interned on the Hill 2005. The one thing I have not been able to get a firm understanding of is the electoral college. If you will, please give me a brief "Electoral College for Dummies" lesson.

Thanks in advance and keep up the great work!

-Matt-436332

A state's electoral college votes is based on the number of members of Congress they send to Washington (House + Senate). DC gets 3 votes, assuming it would have two senators and 1 House member. And add it all up, you get 538 electoral votes... Why we have an even number of EVs is beyond me. The fact that we could have a tie is just ridiculous. I could go into more detail but the reader is right, even Wikipedia will have this mostly right.

Hi Chuck -
I know that you think that Biden is the most likely choice for Obama's VP right now, but do you think it's possible that he's going to pull a surprise? Is there any likelihood that he might pick someone totally undiscussed and unexpected - like Al Gore or (as per Michael Moore's suggestion) Caroline Kennedy? He did say he wanted someone who didn't want to be thinking all the time about being the next president (which eliminates you-know-who)...

Boy were you busy yesterday, Chuck, and I was lucky enough to catch your commentary quite a few times! I wasn't sure you were going to show up today! : )

-Jen in Upstate NY

I don't expect a surprise. Obama's campaign has been very disciplined throughout this year and half and they seemed intent on always sticking to a plan. So my guess is we won't see a surprise... But I live for surprises!

Can McCain rally any social conservatives to his side? Ridge and Lieberman are pro-choice, Romney's iffy, and Huckabee is out. Who is McCain's best shot for bringing out social conservatives?

If McCain picks Ridge or Lieberman, will social conservatives stay home? Ridge isn't that liberal socially, just on abortion. But people seem to be ignoring that.

Why isn't J.C. Watts on the national scene right now?

-Andrew (aka Online Apps)

J.C. Watts decided to make money rather than get back into politics. There was an open senate seat in OK he could have had if he wanted in 2004 but he passed it up. Maybe he'll go back and run for GOV from OK; if he can win GOV or SEN in OK (something I think he CAN do), then maybe he'll be a player again on the national scene. As for the persons who mentioned Barbour and Sanford... these are two govs who deserve more play. Haley's not getting vetted because of his extensive DC and lobbying connections. Sanford has simply kept a low profile, maybe too low or he'd be mentioned. He's Pawlenty with a Southern accent a bit more of a stubborn streak. I would wager a lot on who McCain might pick but my gut says Pawlenty.

I have a question about the downballot situation -
What are projections on the number of Democratic seats that will be picked up in both the House and the Senate?

-Jen in Upstate NY

Here is my range... Dems are likely to pick up a minimum of 5 senate seats... my guess is that if they start winning a 6th or a 7th... they'll get another 5 and get their 60... but that's a long shot.

On the House side... I think the low range is 10 seats for the Dems and the ceiling is 25.

And if Obama implodes, ala Dukakis in 1988, how will that affect these optimistic projections?

-Tom Bombadil

I think even an Obama implosion would have Dems still pick up 4-5 Senate seats and 8-10 House seats. Too many GOP retirements

Chuck, Where is all the media when it comes to Sen. McCain's statement concerning his apparent desire to reinstitute the draft? What would he intend to do with all the draftees? Who would be drafted...everyone or just the poor who can not afford college?

-Steve-382522

Am I waiting for something that will never happen? Obama had to put up with all the Wright stories, all the lies from republicans and yet McCain gets no negative coverage. What about the Keating 5 scandal? What about the fact that he's missed more votes than anyone? I have wondered why McCain no longer has media on his bus and has pretty much cut you guys off. Doesn't take a genius to figure out that he's hiding something. I think the one event a day, at which looks exhausted, has to read his stump speech (and does that poorly) and the weekends off are very telling. Is anyone looking into it? In other words, when will the magnifying glass be taken to McCain?

-Shirley S.

McCain's house gaffe is going to bring about a bunch of stories about his wealth. You'll see more coverage of both candidates on all the newscasts.

Hi Chuck.

I am a fan of Obama, but right now I'm trying to find a way to not see Obama's campaign as blowing it. Is there any chance that Obama plans to go negative, but is playing the Ali rope-a-dope strategy? Ali let Foreman punch until he was tired, than came out blazing to win the match. Do you think the same thing can work in politics? Let McCain go negative, block as needed, then unload on McCain in the last eight weeks or so? I speculate that a big late flurry of negative campaigning might have more impact than a sustained negative campaign, so let McCain punch until he has made so many gaffes, lies, and politically incorrect jokes that he just can't defend himself against the onslaught. We all know negative campaigns work, but what works better? A long drag through the mud, or a final round surprise assault with a lot of fresh attacks?

-Tony C. SA TX

Ask me again after the Dem convention. I'll be curious to see if the Obama campaign has some tough words for McCain during the convention. Will we see some rhetoric similar to what Bush's convention had for Kerry in '04? If we do, then I think you'll see a candidate and campaign ready for the fall. If you don't, you may want to start to worry.

Chuck,

You said on MTP this week that the McCain campaign was feeling good about where things are in the campaign right now. Do you share their assessment? It seems to me that the race really hasn't been altered that much. The attacks seem to have moved some soft Obama support into undecided and McCain's shored up a bit of his base, but the fundamentals haven't changed much. Might their optimism actually be good for Obama in the long-term in that it lulls the McCain campaign into a false sense of security, whereas they really need a "game-changing" event. (Maybe that McCain picks a safe VP choice instead of something unexpected?)

Also, doesn't Obama's talk of a VP who's "not about ego, self-aggrandizement, getting their names in the press" really point away from Biden? Shouldn't Jack Reed be getting more attention now?

-pcayting

Yeah, I think the McCain folks have reason to feel good... They have turned this race into a referendum on Obama. Now, it may turn out 50%+1 of the country and 273-worth of electoral votes decide Obama's ready for the job but the onus is on him now more than ever; And the spotlight is brighter thanks to McCain so that means he can't make as many mistakes as he did in the '07 part of the Dem primary season.

At last Saturday's forum with both candidates, McCain gave an interesting account on his Christian faith and how it helped him during his time as a POW, involving a guard who drew a cross in the sand. However, many blogs have pointed out that his story is oddly similar to one by Alexander Solzhenitsyn ("The Gulag Archipelago") which was released back in 1973. I'm curious to know why this story hasn't gotten any traction or verification by the mainstream media. Plagiarizing a story such as this one, with such strong religious emphasis, seems like it would be awfully damaging to McCain.

-Alfonso-436359

I think this game of gotcha on personal stories is going to get old for a lot of folks on both sides of this campaign.

Rachel Maddow got a show! Hurray! Speaking of which, does a "political director" direct anything? Is it a managerial position? If you helped Rachel get her show, thank you very much, I am a big fan and will add the hour back to my lineup (I cancelled "Verdict" long ago, and cancelled RTTWH a month ago). What is Rachel's show going to be called?

-Tony C. SA TX

Actually I do... it's a behind-the-scenes job editorially, helping to shape stories we cover on both network and cable; making sure we're in place for big stories (like helping to decide when to start staking out VP candidates and which candidates to stake out).

1)What is your take on the suburban Chicago 10th Congressional District race between Mark Kirk and Dan Seals?

2)When Obama responds to the McCain camp's attacks in a speech or town hall, should he really be listing in detail all of McCain's ngeative remarks for his audience? ("they'll say this about me, they'll tell you that about me") Isn't Obama just reinforcing his opposition's message that way, even if followed by his counterattacks?

3)Considering how busy you are, why is making time do this Q & A important to you?

As always, thanks.

-Lenore K.

If the Dems can't knock off Kirk in the 10th this cycle with Obama at the top of the ticket, then they'll never beat him. He's more vulnerable this year than he has been since he replaced John Porter a while back; Kirk's VERY good at voting his district over his party or he wouldn't still be there. Should be an interesting rematch this year with Seals, who is getting real national party support this time,

As for why do I do this? Because it's a way to exercise the political brain; get a feel for what questions are being asked; being a voyeur on the debates many of you have with each other. I wish I could spend more time each week but it is a bit time-consuming. Still, I've gotten plenty of ideas for columns, analysis and for First Read just from doing these chats.

Chuck

Can you comment on why the mainstream media never talks about either John McCain's age or his connection to the Keating five and the Savings and Loan debacle? Is the media really that afraid of seeming biased that they ignore those issues much less the failure to know the differerence between Suni and @!$%#e and even locations on a map?? Also is it true that mcCain was ranked 894 out of 899 in his class and should we not know that??
Thanks!

-Steven-436388

For the media to jump on controversial stories like this, it takes the opponent to push them hard on the media... I think the Obama campaign has been very hesitant to bring up either topic

Comment Preview:

Chuck,

Thanks for the consistently good analysis; many of us rely on it. Recent stories tell of the disparity in coverage of the candidates, the idea that Obama has received more "face time" in the press than has McCain. But as I read it, the vast majority of stories on Obama are things like "why isn't he leading by more?" or "Obama's (fill in the blank... women, white men, etc.) problem." Is the focus of coverage truly trumped by its sheer volume?

Like all outlets, MSNBC played the "Paris Hilton" ad over and over and over. Will screen media afford the same free time to Obama's ad about McCain's many houses?

Thanks

-russell1

I think you'll see a lot of coverage of the Houses and the wealth of McCain

Now that Obama appears to be "going negative," does that mean that those 527's that pledged not to run negative ads as he had asked are now released from their pledge?

What do you think will happen, Chuck? Are we going to see a "landslide" of negative ads?

-Jen in Upstate NY

I think this is going to be a VERY negative TV campaign from here to the end... But, no, I don't expect too many Obama 527s; he dried up the money.

Hiya Chuck! Couple of things....

1)A blogger on another site said ""We need an experienced person, not someone like Senator Obama who is one of the least experienced candidates for president in the last hundred years, if not the least experienced" Can you please put Obama's experience into some historical perspective?

2)One hit of "veep-crack" - could Clark be the dark horse we're not watching?

Thanks as always!

-MI, Rochester NY

experience in government doesn't correlate to presidential greatness. Timing is everything; ask Reagan, Truman, Hoover etc... Obama's 12-year elective office career is actually about average for a successful presidential candidate. Clinton had 14 years in office before winning; Bush had just 6 years; Reagan had 8 years plus a presidential run (so I say 12 years)... Kennedy was in year 12... Nixon was about 14 years... anyway, Atlantic and National Journal columnist Jonathan Rauch did a great study on this about years in elective politics and success on the presidential trail. Check it out.

Chuck: Do you feel as I and many others that the Dems seem in a total state of disarray with the convention less than a week away. By all rights this election should have been a given for the Dems, they just seem intent on giving this to the GOP. Newsvine has been abuzz with this scenario or that taking place at the convention, you would think at this juncture the platform should be fixed, future policies stated and an outline for implementation of suggested programs posted. Obama seems to be either backing off or changing positions on a regular basis, is he not who we had hoped he was?

-Luther28

I do think we in the media will get a positive/negative impression by how organized the conventions are for each respective nominee.

Hi Chuck, In Obama's speech on the economy at Cooper Union in March he spoke at length on the role of government in market regulation. He explained the failures of both Republican and Democratic administrations in allowing Wall Street to set the economic agenda notably through actions like Reagan's Depository Institutions Act of 1982 and Clinton's repealing of the Glass-Steagall Act of 1933 and replacing it with the Financial Services Modernization Act of 1999. This shift allowed the creation of giant mergers and financial institutions including the like of CitiGroup and Bear Stearns, as well as the merging of commercial and investment banking which, through high-risk mortgage lending, also helped lead to the subprime crisis.

My question is this: While Obama's rhetoric concerning the economy sounds markedly different than the previous Democratic party line through promoting such government sanctioned regulatory measures, do you think he is proposing a real economic shift? Is this a move away from neoliberalism towards a more proactive government program? If so why is Bob Rubin, who helped Clinton repeal Glass Steagall along with a $300 million lobbying effort, sitting on Obama's board of economic advisers? Is this straight talk about Obama's policies or will we see more moderation as the general campaign drags on such as what occurred with all the NAFTA talk? Thanks for your time, you're my favorite analyst in the biz.

-Miles-410851

I think Obama is a real blank slate on the economy; I think his instinct is that he's a globalist, a free-trader; but the populist in him says, challenge these trade agreements, get a bit more protectionist. We just won't know for sure; he wants to compromise with business, like Bill Clinton, but the rank-n-file of his party won't be nearly as forgiving of Obama if he becomes too close to business, than they were of Clinton. Different times, different expectations.

How come we only hear about the Dem and Reb parties? Why isn't the news media talking about the other candidates that are running for president? I truly believe that if the news covered the other people running it would give the American people more to choose from, other than the two want-a-bes.

-Larry Burgess

sorry, i think the internet gives a third party candidate a chance to prove critical mass. Neither Bob Barr nor Ralph Nader have proven it.

If McCain does win and the Democrats get a majority in Congress, could that be a good thing for the GOP? The Dems will most likely block everything McCain tries, giving the GOP the firepower for more "obstructionist Congress" ammo.

-Andrew (aka Online Apps)

McCain will want to sign bills... so I think he'll do everything he can to work with a Dem Congress... But whether he succeeds depends on what issues he tackles first: global warming? he'll get an early victory; immigration? maybe that issue too. But Social Security? no chance.

Hi, Chuck, Some of us worried that there would be some kind of "October trouble" in Iraq/Iran to swing the vote to the right because of a manufactured heightened sense of fear. Things are relatively stable there... So how to swing the vote ? Manufacture another fear-inducing situation. The situation in Georgia/ Russia is so complicated it is difficult to understand with media soundbites, but it produces the sense of fear the right has used to control the power. Is this their October moment, and did the right (bush, cheney, etc) help to make it happen ?

-mdmd

I wonder if voters are becoming numb to these so-called October surprises... just a thought

Chuck –

In order of likelihood, what five states do you see as most likely to flip from GOP to Dem? IA and NM appear the most likely ... but after that?

Also, it would seem Nevada would be ripe for the taking for Dems this year -- the demographics are trending their way (Hispanic population), their voter reg numbers have spiraled since 2004, and the repub Governor has had a scandalous tenure. Yet McCain's maintaining a slight lead, and you mentioned recently that if you were to "push" NV come late Oct., you would nudge it into McCain's column. Why is Nevada such a tough nut to crack for Obama? On the surface it would seem an ideal takeover for all the above-mentioned reasons.

-Tad Davis

top five Red states that could go blue: Iowa, NM, OH, CO and VA. I am not there on NV... even with their damaged GOV; he's not on the ballot.

top five Blue states that could go red: Michigan, New Hampshire, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and ?

There aren't five blue states that are realistic flips... perhaps MN if Pawlenty is picked but even then, I don't buy it...

Crystal ball time. What factor will have the biggest impact on the outcome of the presidential race:
1) Debates 2) TV advertising 3) GOTV efforts 4) Other?

-newsdog

In order: debates, GOTV, race, TV ads

A lot of us are asking about McCain's houses gaffe. How damaging do you think this will be? Is this one of those turning points in the campaign or just a one-day story?

-newsdog

I think this was a big gaffe... may have cost Romney a spot on the ticket.

I just bought a carton of milk and it had Chuck Todd's picture on it.

-Dr. Ivan Divorni

deserved that one

Chuck-

Although I feel Biden was by far the most qualified to be president when he was running do you think that Obama almost owes the 18 million Clinton voters the respect to put her on the ticket. With the current problems he is having wouldn't her name as the VP do nothing but help him win.

-David Frazier

It's all about Bill Clinton; I think if there were no Bill Clinton, Hillary would have been the running mate, period.

Do you think Obama should tackle the race issue (people's reluctance to vote for an African American) more head on? Or would this work against him? Should he have a dialogue with Americans about this or try to defuse it indirectly? This is pretty unprecendented and it's hard to know wahat the best strategy would be. What are your thoughts?

-newsdog

I don't know the answer to this... I think he should confront it in rural American, perhaps this is what Biden should do for him; I do think ignoring it as if it is not an issue is a mistake.

Do you think Obama has made a mistake in waiting so long to choose a VP candidate. It seems to me that he could have controlled the news cycle this entire week by doing so and instead appeared indecisive.

-Arthur-436923

All in all, they wanted a short window between pick and convention to prevent too much backseat driving. It's an interesting strategy that McCain is looking forward to following as well.

Chuck,
I saw in an article within the past week or so that McCains children as well as his wife had a monthly credit card balance as much as $50,000 each. How does he expect to connect with the normal working family with this kind of spending behavior? Some people don't even earn $50,000 a year. How come the Obama camp did not jump on this piece of information?

-Brenda-436926

I think the house gaffe made McCain vulnerable on this issue; let's see how well Obama exploits it.

Can you address the issue of the supposed liberal bias of the media? I've seen a study that claimed that although Obama receives a larger quantity of coverage, it's been more negative than McCain's. Seems to me the media bias is more towards making sure it's a horserace (which it undoubtedly is already.) What are your thoughts on the "media agenda?"

-newsdog

I think there is bias in the media but I contend it's personal bias, meaning if a person lives in NYC, they might have a bias on the gun issue simply because of where they live. I think the right (and now the left) are exploiting the public's hatred of the media to create this myth of entrenched ideological bias in the media. It's just not there; is there bias due to geography (what I call the dreaded Amtrak corridor of Boston-NYC-DC), a tad, but it's not necessarily based on party. I think there's been a view that the media is friendlier to Dems than GOPers and GOPers believe this so they end up intentionally antagonizing their media relationships which in turn create a human reaction of bias.

If you treat the press badly, they'll treat you badly... If you treat a Starbucks coffee person badly, they'll treat you badly... if you treat a cop badly when he's writing a speeding ticket, he'll write it for more... It's human nature.

Chuck, I watched the Faith Forum on CNN, and found myself literally screaming at McCain during his interview. But almost all the pundits who followed said McCain did a great job and Obama's answers were somehow inadequate. My question is, what does it mean that my reaction to candidates is so different from the pundits? Really, what does it mean? I am a white, 49 year old single Protestant woman with a college degree. Does this put me out of some kind of demographic for the "average American"?

-Amy B. Portland, ME

Look, I think folks forget that the target audience for many of these forums aren't the folks who are watching every single event of the campaign but the voter who hasn't had a lot of time to tune in. And that's how I judge these events, how would the average occasional viewer digest what they saw.

How can the McCain campaign get away with characterizing Obama as elitist when McCain has always been wealthy and owns more homes than he can keep track of? It seems as though Clinton got away with the same thing. Yes, Obama went to a private prep school - on scholarship. Yes, he went to Ivy League schools - by taking out student loans. He passed up higher paying jobs to be a city organizer. I don't understand how someone working their way to the top is treated with such disdain and somewhere who was born with a silver spoon is considered the everyman.

Also, is it possible that Obama may actually hold a much larger lead over McCain than is reflected in all the latest polling? If I understand correctly, only land lines are called. I'm 25 and I do not know anyone my age who even has a land line. Does the term 'likely voters' include all the new voters that registered during the primaries? Thanks.

-Gina – Seattle4Obama

well, let's see how the Obama campaign amplifies the house gaffe... that will tell us whether they'll successfully push back against the McCain elitest charge.

Bruce Richardson—

You are so correct. Obama's intellect, demeanor, class, and graciousness has, somehow, become a negative for him in this campaign.

Something is wrong with this picture!

Maybe Chuck can speak to the declining standards that Americans are applying to our leaders.

-Ann M.

Again, I addressed this a little bit up top; but the audience for these events are not folks like you who know the nuance of the campaign but the avg. voter who haven't had the chance to tune in as much.

This McCain letter to Steve Capus, how many times are we going to play 'blame the refs'?

This is something of a desperation move right?

Shouldn't presidents be made of sterner stuff?

Also... as a follow-up to my you vs Olbermann fight boxing question last week, now that she's part of the team, you vs. Maddow... who wins? I know she's small, but she looks scrappy.

-Rodney Hopper

I'm guessing many members of the McCain campaign wished the letter hadn't been sent.

Chuck,
Do you think that the Rezko and Ayers attacks by McCain will actually go anywhere. Considering they were in the news early in the primaries they never seemed to get much traction. What are your thoughts?

-joelmease

It depends if there is any new information that pops up. Old stories get new legs when there is new information. I'd argue Rezko's potential sentencing before the election is a new piece of information that won't be helpful to Obama.

As political director of NBC, what's your response to criticism from the McCain camp that the network is unfairly biased against McCain? It seems to this dispassionate observor that you faced a similar charge during the Dem primary from the Hilary camp and there was a demonstrable shift in your coverage. I can't prove that and have no statistics to back it up. Just a gut feel. (I watch NBC News nightly as well as Hardball.) Chris Mathews definitely became more sympathetic to Hilary after the fuss (and after Pennsylvania went for her.)

I have enormous respect for you and Mathews and the other contributors to the network but I truly believe I saw a 'pulling back' in the face of that criticism. Do you concur? Have you had internal discussions or post-mortems on your coverage?

-newsdog

Look, I take all critiques seriously, whether from a viewer or a presidential campaign. In this instance, since no one at the network received this letter before a member of the media did, I'm skeptical that it was a serious criticism. If it was, they would have kept the communication private.

_______

Ok, I'm going to have to pull the plug on this thread. But the good news is that the folks at Newsvine want to have a Convention thread that I jump into at least once a day during the convos to answer questions... I may only have 30 mins here and 30 mins there, but I hope to answer 20-40 questions daily.

------ Original Post --------

I'm Chuck Todd, NBC News Political Director. Please join me for another Q&A session here on Newsvine, on Thursday, August 21 starting at 3:30 ET, where we'll be discussing U.S. Politics and the unfolding presidential election. Feel free to post your questions here in advance, and please remember to vote for your favorite questions by clicking the small arrow in each comment box. Click here to read my last Q&A.

For those of you visiting us here for the first time, please know that Newsvine is an interactive web site designed for members to participate in thoughtful discussions about news-related topics. Feel free to take a look at the Newsvine Code of Honor, it's a short list of standards that existing members hold themselves to here.

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{"commentId":2528497,"authorDomain":"mikerupert"}

Chuck, every major website, as I write this, has, on the front of it, the story of McCain's admission that he doesn't know how many homes he owns. Do you think this is going to be a problem and affect the way people see him now as a candidate? Because I personally see it as close to insane for someone running for president of the United States to not know. It seems, with all his gaffes, that he's really beginning to show either his age, or his intelligence; and probably a little of both.

{"commentId":2528497,"threadId":"336427","contentId":"1769874","authorDomain":"mikerupert"}
  • 25 votes
Reply#1 - Thu Aug 21, 2008 12:28 PM EDT
{"commentId":2528768,"authorDomain":"wharrison55"}

And speaking of homes, I'd still like to now just how Barry O managed to swing that sweet deal on his with Tony Rezko's missus acting as the intermediary. That one still stinks to high heaven.

{"commentId":2528768,"threadId":"336427","contentId":"1769874","authorDomain":"wharrison55"}
  • 7 votes
#1.1 - Thu Aug 21, 2008 12:47 PM EDT
{"commentId":2528953,"authorDomain":"ramona918"}

Haven't we put this to bed yet? It has been acknowledge that Obama did not do anything wrong.

{"commentId":2528953,"threadId":"336427","contentId":"1769874","authorDomain":"ramona918"}
  • 13 votes
#1.2 - Thu Aug 21, 2008 12:59 PM EDT
{"commentId":2529058,"authorDomain":"mikerupert"}

You have an opportunity, Mr. Harrison, to investigate, report, and claim then on its own merits, the subject you are interested in. Instead of purporting something as stinking to "high heaven" on an internet page, you can do the responsible thing - if you wish - and look up the facts yourself, so responsible people such as yourself, can legitimately inform. Otherwise it passes as nothing. Mr. McCain, however, claiming ignorance on the amount of homes he owns, is quite factual; and I find, quite interesting.

{"commentId":2529058,"threadId":"336427","contentId":"1769874","authorDomain":"mikerupert"}
  • 17 votes
#1.3 - Thu Aug 21, 2008 1:07 PM EDT
{"commentId":2530277,"authorDomain":"olderisbetter"}

Maybe the Obama camp could blow this election wide open if they would just tie in this latest McCain camp with specifics on how they will help the average American. Attacking is fine but to attack and show the alternatives is so much better.

{"commentId":2530277,"threadId":"336427","contentId":"1769874","authorDomain":"olderisbetter"}
  • 2 votes
#1.4 - Thu Aug 21, 2008 2:29 PM EDT
{"commentId":2530628,"authorDomain":"davisdustin"}

There are multiple VALID points for Obama to hit McCain on and while I want Obama to conduct a positive campaign, I understand that some punches need to be made.

I think one valid character flaw that should be expoited by the Obama campaign is the well known temperment problem that McCain purportedly has. Even some of his own fellow republican senators acknowledge that McCain's temperment would be a problem as POTUS.

{"commentId":2530628,"threadId":"336427","contentId":"1769874","authorDomain":"davisdustin"}
  • 3 votes
#1.5 - Thu Aug 21, 2008 2:53 PM EDT
{"commentId":2531544,"authorDomain":"billsteed3"}

This is entirely different than the Rezko ordeal. The man said he doesn't know how many homes he owns. If you asked me how many neckties I own, I wouldn't know. My wife wouldn't know how many dresses she owns. But we darn sure know how many cars we own (2). We darn sure know we own one home. If we owned 7, I'm quite certain we'd know that! This is just unbelievable. I'm not for either of these two bozos but this is just plain scary.

He either A.) Doesn't actually know - very scary
B.) Knows that he owns 7 homes and is embarrassed so he thinks hedging will work and no one will check - very scary and really stupid

This man does not need to be our president.

{"commentId":2531544,"threadId":"336427","contentId":"1769874","authorDomain":"billsteed3"}
  • 8 votes
#1.6 - Thu Aug 21, 2008 3:57 PM EDT
{"commentId":2532006,"authorDomain":"rshaw143"}

I agree. When is this going to be the topic for the news shows?

{"commentId":2532006,"threadId":"336427","contentId":"1769874","authorDomain":"rshaw143"}
  • 1 vote
#1.7 - Thu Aug 21, 2008 4:29 PM EDT
{"commentId":2532045,"authorDomain":"downeastcornhusker"}

Why should he know how many homes his wife and/or her family trusts own and control? He has nothing to do with most of them and has never been to some of them.

{"commentId":2532045,"threadId":"336427","contentId":"1769874","authorDomain":"downeastcornhusker"}
  • 3 votes
#1.8 - Thu Aug 21, 2008 4:32 PM EDT
{"commentId":2532050,"authorDomain":"chucktodd"}

McCain's answer on the homes definitely gave Obama an opening... it was a gaffe, the question is how big. The response by the McCain camp and the RNC makes me think they are very nervous about this gaffe. they have unloaded on Obama today with Rezko and Ayres...

{"commentId":2532050,"threadId":"336427","contentId":"1769874","authorDomain":"chucktodd"}
  • 17 votes
#1.9 - Thu Aug 21, 2008 4:32 PM EDT
{"commentId":2532134,"authorDomain":"jgyarborough"}

I think this could actually be more of an age issue, but who's going to go there?

Seven is not a big number. If it were over twenty, I could understand not remembering the exact number. But seven is not a big number. I don't think people will care as much about having seven houses as not being able to remember.

{"commentId":2532134,"threadId":"336427","contentId":"1769874","authorDomain":"jgyarborough"}
  • 1 vote
#1.10 - Thu Aug 21, 2008 4:38 PM EDT
{"commentId":2532205,"authorDomain":"joelmease"}
joelmeaseDeleted
{"commentId":2533198,"authorDomain":"wharrison55"}

Anyone who doesn't think Obama's deal with Rezko doesn't stink doesn't know shinola from real estate. Rezko overpaid by a huge amount for what (after the slice off to Barry) would be an unbuildable lot (unless one gets a zoning variance and special use permit from both the city and the Hyde Park Historic District for mid-rise condos that would not be in keeping with the neighborhood's characteristics) and Barry paid him 1/6th of the asking price when the appraisal was considerably less than that - $42,500.00 to be exact. The problem is that most political or business reporters for that matter don't really know @!$%# about real estate (present company included) and they swallow all kinds of nonsense whole like this crap.

{"commentId":2533198,"threadId":"336427","contentId":"1769874","authorDomain":"wharrison55"}
  • 5 votes
#1.12 - Thu Aug 21, 2008 5:40 PM EDT
{"commentId":2533788,"authorDomain":"mjs6288"}

Obama committed no wrongdoing in the Rezko affair. The Chicago papers admitted as much in March.

{"commentId":2533788,"threadId":"336427","contentId":"1769874","authorDomain":"mjs6288"}
  • 4 votes
#1.13 - Thu Aug 21, 2008 6:17 PM EDT
{"commentId":2534100,"authorDomain":"tatro101"}

The whole Rezko thing was talked about and reported on for weeks. Everyone has said that Obama did nothing wrong. I find it more interesting that McCain the non-elitist doesnt even know how many homes he owns. THATS JUST NUTS!!

{"commentId":2534100,"threadId":"336427","contentId":"1769874","authorDomain":"tatro101"}
  • 4 votes
#1.14 - Thu Aug 21, 2008 6:38 PM EDT
{"commentId":2536632,"authorDomain":"barry-rutherford"}
Anyone who doesn't think Obama's deal with Rezko doesn't stink doesn't know shinola from real estate. Rezko overpaid by a huge amount for what (after the slice off to Barry) would be an unbuildable lot (unless one gets a zoning variance and special use permit from both the city and the Hyde Park Historic District for mid-rise condos that would not be in keeping with the neighborhood's characteristics) and Barry paid him 1/6th of the asking price when the appraisal was considerably less than that - $42,500.00 to be exact. The problem is that most political or business reporters for that matter don't really know @!$%# about real estate (present company included) and they swallow all kinds of nonsense whole like this crap

So the parties agreed to a much lower purchase price for the house . Nothing illegal about that pity there was not more of it nationally...

{"commentId":2536632,"threadId":"336427","contentId":"1769874","authorDomain":"barry-rutherford"}
  • 3 votes
#1.15 - Thu Aug 21, 2008 9:33 PM EDT
{"commentId":2536686,"authorDomain":"Conrad37"}

BH--You have demonstrated to me that you are an intelligent guy and you have a good grasp of a lot of pertinent information. But, your hyperbole and ad hominem attacks turn me off.

You can say what you have to say better than you are doing. I believe that.

{"commentId":2536686,"threadId":"336427","contentId":"1769874","authorDomain":"Conrad37"}
  • 5 votes
#1.16 - Thu Aug 21, 2008 9:36 PM EDT
{"commentId":2539296,"authorDomain":"tombombadil"}

This is like the Left's attempt to make the "$5 million is rich" and "Possibly in Iraq 100 years" comments into something significant, by twisting and manipulating the truth, or magnification of trivia.

Check this out:

McCain family owns 8 properties

The presumptive Republican nominee, though, may have some wiggle room in explaining why he couldn't immediately provide an answer when asked by Politico how many houses he and his wife, Cindy, own. Sen. McCain himself does not own any of the properties. They're all owned by Cindy McCain, her dependent children and the trusts and companies they control.

Brian Rogers, a McCain spokesman, did not question Politico's analysis, but said his boss's bungling of the how-many-homes question is a nonissue.

"Voters care a lot more about candidates' personal ethics than about how many houses or residences or doghouses that John and Cindy McCain own," he said. He questioned efforts by McCain's Democratic rival, Barack Obama, to exploit the issue, given that Obama benefited from a 2005 land deal with the wife of convicted Chicago businessman — and former Obama fundraiser — Tony Rezko that expanded the Obama family's newly purchased $1.65 million homestead.

Given that Cindy handles the financial arrangements very separately from John, it is entirely understandable that he was unsure of the number.

Some accurate and fair reportage on these facts would be appreciated.

{"commentId":2539296,"threadId":"336427","contentId":"1769874","authorDomain":"tombombadil"}
  • 5 votes
#1.17 - Fri Aug 22, 2008 1:26 AM EDT
{"commentId":2541005,"authorDomain":"mhally"}

I would agree that the fact that McCain doesn't know how many houses his family owns, in isolation, is not a huge deal. The problem is that McCain has tried to make Obama out as an elitist that is out of touch with the average American. When you take that and add to it his $5 million is rich, his not knowing how many houses his family has, his tax plan that can easily be argued benefits the upper income earners more than anyone else then you start to see a pattern.

{"commentId":2541005,"threadId":"336427","contentId":"1769874","authorDomain":"mhally"}
  • 1 vote
#1.18 - Fri Aug 22, 2008 9:27 AM EDT
{"commentId":2544048,"authorDomain":"lisaed"}

mhally-1.18- obama has already cornered the market on "elitist" in this election and his feeble attempt to play old style gotcha politics re: mccain's number of houses owned just plays like young whipper snapper bullying the elder war hero stateman---it will not fly in attracting the older, white, working class voters that Obama needs to win.

{"commentId":2544048,"threadId":"336427","contentId":"1769874","authorDomain":"lisaed"}
  • 3 votes
#1.19 - Fri Aug 22, 2008 1:20 PM EDT
{"commentId":2546921,"authorDomain":"mhally"}

lisaed-1.19- I would argue that the right has made a concerted effort to paint Obama as an elitist. They have used the Bush/Rove tactic of---if you say it enough times, even if it's not true, people will believe it. McCain seems to be proving the label is being put on the wrong candidate.

{"commentId":2546921,"threadId":"336427","contentId":"1769874","authorDomain":"mhally"}
  • 1 vote
#1.20 - Fri Aug 22, 2008 4:34 PM EDT
{"commentId":2546972,"authorDomain":"lisaed"}
I would argue that the right has made a concerted effort to paint Obama as an elitist.

mhally---I believe the perception that Obama is elitist is the candidate himself's own fault---remember those bitter remarks?

{"commentId":2546972,"threadId":"336427","contentId":"1769874","authorDomain":"lisaed"}
  • 2 votes
#1.21 - Fri Aug 22, 2008 4:38 PM EDT
{"commentId":2547102,"authorDomain":"acidreflux"}

I seem to think Mr. McCain's lack of knowledge about how many multimillion dollar homes he owns is also his own fault, and it certainly does make him look totally out of touch with the common man. Or is personal responsibility only for the candidate you don't back?

{"commentId":2547102,"threadId":"336427","contentId":"1769874","authorDomain":"acidreflux"}
  • 3 votes
#1.22 - Fri Aug 22, 2008 4:45 PM EDT
{"commentId":2547445,"authorDomain":"lisaed"}
I seem to think Mr. McCain's lack of knowledge about how many multimillion dollar homes he owns is also his own fault,

Adipic---well you see he let's Cindy handle all that while he takes care of the business of the American people.

{"commentId":2547445,"threadId":"336427","contentId":"1769874","authorDomain":"lisaed"}
  • 2 votes
#1.23 - Fri Aug 22, 2008 5:12 PM EDT
{"commentId":2550646,"authorDomain":"tombombadil"}

Obama's famous San Francisco speech about the values of Middle Americans has permanently tattoed "elitist" on his own forehead. The fact that he lives in a $1.6 million mansion funded, in part, by a sleazy slumlord to whom he was politically beholden completes the picture. The millions he receives in book and CD revenue - entirely legitimate, by the way - helps to fund his jaunts to Hawaii.

{"commentId":2550646,"threadId":"336427","contentId":"1769874","authorDomain":"tombombadil"}
  • 3 votes
#1.24 - Sat Aug 23, 2008 12:02 AM EDT
{"commentId":2551036,"authorDomain":"njb"}

Tom:

1.

Given that Cindy handles the financial arrangements very separately from John, it is entirely understandable that he was unsure of the number.

Some accurate and fair reportage on these facts would be appreciated.

Dad gum it...I have to agree with you here. You know that just kills me... :-)

The fact that he lives in a $1.6 million mansion funded, in part, by a sleazy slumlord to whom he was politically beholden completes the picture.

I will have to re-read the entire scandal from the start to honestly answer that, I do remember putting it to bed, have to rehash why now. My only point for now--is sometimes, we see what we want to see. We all do it.

3.

The millions he receives in book and CD revenue - entirely legitimate, by the way - helps to fund his jaunts to Hawaii.

I wish I could write a book and made that much money. Are you saying it is a problem for him to go home to see his family? I don't see it as any worse than flying to Iowa, or wherever. Darn him--he had the bad luck to be born in such a cool place. My snarkyness ends now.

{"commentId":2551036,"threadId":"336427","contentId":"1769874","authorDomain":"njb"}
  • 1 vote
#1.25 - Sat Aug 23, 2008 1:06 AM EDT
{"commentId":2551668,"authorDomain":"tombombadil"}

No, I am saying his book and CD money are very legitimate, and enable him to live a lifestyle of wealth. Nothing wrong with that, as long as they don't try to paint McCain as elitist because his wife is an heiress and sharp businesswoman.

{"commentId":2551668,"threadId":"336427","contentId":"1769874","authorDomain":"tombombadil"}
  • 3 votes
#1.26 - Sat Aug 23, 2008 1:42 AM EDT
{"commentId":2552453,"authorDomain":"barry-rutherford"}
No, I am saying his book and CD money are very legitimate

Because it would be wrong if you did...

{"commentId":2552453,"threadId":"336427","contentId":"1769874","authorDomain":"barry-rutherford"}
  • 1 vote
#1.27 - Sat Aug 23, 2008 2:11 AM EDT
{"commentId":2552786,"authorDomain":"tombombadil"}

It would be wrong if I criticized Obama for making millions on his book and CD. Which is why I didn't.

So ... what's your point?

{"commentId":2552786,"threadId":"336427","contentId":"1769874","authorDomain":"tombombadil"}
  • 2 votes
#1.28 - Sat Aug 23, 2008 2:28 AM EDT
{"commentId":2553488,"authorDomain":"njb"}

I am actually just trying to clarify. You did make a claim that it was the book sales that financed his trips home. Frankly--I had not even considered it an issue. Not like it cost a grand to fly there.

Look--I really try to avoid--distractions, its fun (sure) but its not helping any of us. Maybe we have just become accustomed to the snark is fine media. I've never liked that.

IMHO--McCain would have scored more points with the media and your everyday Joe if he would have just said--ask my wife, I'm on a allowance, (since most married guys are). Not commenting on the need for it...cough cough....

{"commentId":2553488,"threadId":"336427","contentId":"1769874","authorDomain":"njb"}
  • 1 vote
#1.29 - Sat Aug 23, 2008 3:26 AM EDT
{"commentId":2556342,"authorDomain":"acidreflux"}
well you see he let's Cindy handle all that while he takes care of the business of the American people.

By not showing up to vote in the Senate for months now? Or could he not remember which car he brought to Washington?

{"commentId":2556342,"threadId":"336427","contentId":"1769874","authorDomain":"acidreflux"}
  • 3 votes
#1.30 - Sat Aug 23, 2008 10:34 AM EDT
{"commentId":2563165,"authorDomain":"ulicnyp001"}

It's interesting that people are still going on about McCain and the "How many houses" business. McCain and his wife are of the "Ballpark" category i.e. should they ask their accountants how much they are worth, the accountants would give them a "Ballpark" figure, since the value of the investments, stocks, real estate, etc are changing constantly.

Since the type and nature of the real estate holdings in McCain's portfolio are probably variable, his answer was the only intelligent one. If asked "How many Homes" do you and your wife own, i.e. do they actually spend time in, I suspect that he could have given an answer to that question.

{"commentId":2563165,"threadId":"336427","contentId":"1769874","authorDomain":"ulicnyp001"}
  • 1 vote
#1.31 - Sat Aug 23, 2008 9:35 PM EDT
{"commentId":2567921,"authorDomain":"barry-rutherford"}
So ... what's your point

? You raised the issue I figure to try & deflect any criticism of McCain by throwing a red herring into the mix...

{"commentId":2567921,"threadId":"336427","contentId":"1769874","authorDomain":"barry-rutherford"}
    #1.32 - Sun Aug 24, 2008 2:49 PM EDT
    Reply
    {"commentId":2528558,"authorDomain":"mattminson"}

    Hey Chuck,

    I enjoy watching your segments on the MSNBC and NBC news programs. In my opinion you have become America's resident political statistician. Anyhow, I have been following politics for the past eight years, I even interned on the Hill 2005. The one thing I have not been able to get a firm understanding of is the electoral college. If you will, please give me a brief "Electoral College for Dummies" lesson.

    Thanks in advance and keep up the great work!

    {"commentId":2528558,"threadId":"336427","contentId":"1769874","authorDomain":"mattminson"}
    • 2 votes
    Reply#2 - Thu Aug 21, 2008 12:33 PM EDT
    {"commentId":2529363,"authorDomain":"mc-smith"}

    Not that wikipedia should ever be trusted entirely...but I mean how badly can they screw this one up...check it out for a good overview including arguments for and against it.

    {"commentId":2529363,"threadId":"336427","contentId":"1769874","authorDomain":"mc-smith"}
      #2.1 - Thu Aug 21, 2008 1:26 PM EDT
      {"commentId":2550080,"authorDomain":"chucktodd"}

      A state's electoral college votes is based on the number of members of Congress they send to Washington (House + Senate). DC gets 3 votes, assuming it would have two senators and 1 House member. And add it all up, you get 538 electoral votes... Why we have an even number of EVs is beyond me. The fact that we could have a tie is just ridiculous. I could go into more detail but the reader is right, even Wikipedia will have this mostly right.

      {"commentId":2550080,"threadId":"336427","contentId":"1769874","authorDomain":"chucktodd"}
      • 2 votes
      #2.2 - Fri Aug 22, 2008 10:46 PM EDT
      Reply
      {"commentId":2528597,"authorDomain":"Chriselo"}

      I'm beginning to get the sense that this is going to be one of those general elections that will defy the usual expectations. Looking at the electoral map, where do things stand right now between McCain and Obama in the western states?

      {"commentId":2528597,"threadId":"336427","contentId":"1769874","authorDomain":"Chriselo"}
        Reply#3 - Thu Aug 21, 2008 12:36 PM EDT
        {"commentId":2528624,"authorDomain":"Jen56"}

        Hi Chuck -
        I know that you think that Biden is the most likely choice for Obama's VP right now, but do you think it's possible that he's going to pull a surprise? Is there any likelihood that he might pick someone totally undiscussed and unexpected - like Al Gore or (as per Michael Moore's suggestion) Caroline Kennedy? He did say he wanted someone who didn't want to be thinking all the time about being the next president (which eliminates you-know-who)...

        Boy were you busy yesterday, Chuck, and I was lucky enough to catch your commentary quite a few times! I wasn't sure you were going to show up today! : )

        {"commentId":2528624,"threadId":"336427","contentId":"1769874","authorDomain":"Jen56"}
        • 12 votes
        Reply#4 - Thu Aug 21, 2008 12:39 PM EDT
        {"commentId":2532158,"authorDomain":"chucktodd"}

        I don't expect a surprise. Obama's campaign has been very disciplined throughout this year and half and they seemed intent on always sticking to a plan. So my guess is we won't see a surprise... But I live for surprises!

        {"commentId":2532158,"threadId":"336427","contentId":"1769874","authorDomain":"chucktodd"}
        • 6 votes
        #4.1 - Thu Aug 21, 2008 4:40 PM EDT
        Reply
        {"commentId":2528629,"authorDomain":"onlineapps"}

        Can McCain rally any social conservatives to his side? Ridge and Lieberman are pro-choice, Romney's iffy, and Huckabee is out. Who is McCain's best shot for bringing out social conservatives?

        If McCain picks Ridge or Lieberman, will social conservatives stay home? Ridge isn't that liberal socially, just on abortion. But people seem to be ignoring that.

        Why isn't J.C. Watts on the national scene right now?

        {"commentId":2528629,"threadId":"336427","contentId":"1769874","authorDomain":"onlineapps"}
        • 7 votes
        Reply#5 - Thu Aug 21, 2008 12:39 PM EDT
        {"commentId":2530139,"authorDomain":"acidreflux"}
        Why isn't J.C. Watts on the national scene right now?

        Because having him on the ticket wrecks the strategy for the Old Confederacy? Hard to appeal to the die hard racists if you appear nearly as inclusive as the other side.

        {"commentId":2530139,"threadId":"336427","contentId":"1769874","authorDomain":"acidreflux"}
        • 3 votes
        #5.1 - Thu Aug 21, 2008 2:19 PM EDT
        {"commentId":2531461,"authorDomain":"johunt"}
        JARHEAD 94Deleted
        {"commentId":2531781,"authorDomain":"acidreflux"}

        My, my. Struck a nerve, did we?

        {"commentId":2531781,"threadId":"336427","contentId":"1769874","authorDomain":"acidreflux"}
        • 2 votes
        #5.3 - Thu Aug 21, 2008 4:14 PM EDT
        {"commentId":2539324,"authorDomain":"tombombadil"}

        As the founder of the Newsvine Group, "2008: Draft J.C. Watts," I do wish he was in consideration.

        There is no way McCain is going to pick a Democrat such as Lieberman or a pro-choice Republican. If I were forced to bet, I'd bet he picks Romney or Crist. I still wish he would have picked Jindal, Barbour, or even the likable Huckabee.

        {"commentId":2539324,"threadId":"336427","contentId":"1769874","authorDomain":"tombombadil"}
        • 4 votes
        #5.4 - Fri Aug 22, 2008 1:30 AM EDT
        {"commentId":2541469,"authorDomain":"onlineapps"}

        Or Pawlenty.

        {"commentId":2541469,"threadId":"336427","contentId":"1769874","authorDomain":"onlineapps"}
        • 2 votes
        #5.5 - Fri Aug 22, 2008 10:19 AM EDT
        {"commentId":2542915,"authorDomain":"tad-davis"}

        I'm surprised Haley Barbour was never really considered. Seems he would have been a nice choice for "putting the base at ease." A few others I thought might get consideration but didn't include Mark Sanford and Lindsey Graham. I personally don't see Pawlenty has a strong pick -- his relative inexperience goes against McCain's argument, and I doubt he helps much in MN considering he didn't even get 50% of the vote in either of his elections.

        {"commentId":2542915,"threadId":"336427","contentId":"1769874","authorDomain":"tad-davis"}
        • 2 votes
        #5.6 - Fri Aug 22, 2008 12:05 PM EDT
        {"commentId":2543054,"authorDomain":"onlineapps"}

        Sanford's problem was his MTP gaff. Graham is against McCain on off-shore drilling, making him unpopular with many conservatives.

        Barbour will run soon, since his term limit stops him after '11 as governor.

        {"commentId":2543054,"threadId":"336427","contentId":"1769874","authorDomain":"onlineapps"}
        • 2 votes
        #5.7 - Fri Aug 22, 2008 12:15 PM EDT
        {"commentId":2550113,"authorDomain":"chucktodd"}

        J.C. Watts decided to make money rather than get back into politics. There was an open senate seat in OK he could have had if he wanted in 2004 but he passed it up. Maybe he'll go back and run for GOV from OK; if he can win GOV or SEN in OK (something I think he CAN do), then maybe he'll be a player again on the national scene. As for the persons who mentioned Barbour and Sanford... these are two govs who deserve more play. Haley's not getting vetted because of his extensive DC and lobbying connections. Sanford has simply kept a low profile, maybe too low or he'd be mentioned. He's Pawlenty with a Southern accent a bit more of a stubborn streak. I would wager a lot on who McCain might pick but my gut says Pawlenty.

        {"commentId":2550113,"threadId":"336427","contentId":"1769874","authorDomain":"chucktodd"}
        • 3 votes
        #5.8 - Fri Aug 22, 2008 10:49 PM EDT
        {"commentId":2550657,"authorDomain":"tombombadil"}

        Thanks, Chuck. I think that's a good and fair assessment of the various parties.

        {"commentId":2550657,"threadId":"336427","contentId":"1769874","authorDomain":"tombombadil"}
        • 2 votes
        #5.9 - Sat Aug 23, 2008 12:04 AM EDT
        {"commentId":2563254,"authorDomain":"ulicnyp001"}

        For McCain's VP pick, I'd put my money on Hawaii. Gov. Linda Lingle. Lingle, at the end of her second term as the Republican Governor, largely unknown outside Hawaii, is very well integrated in national Republican circles. She was the chair of the 2004 Republican convention, where she would be rubbing shoulders with the Republican king-makers. She has executive experience, which neither Obama, Biden or McCain have.

        I think that McCain can't afford to have a second white male on his ticket, and would be looking around for an acceptable female VP pick. This to take advantage of disaffected female voters, disappointed at Hillary, or any woman, not being on the nation tickets this election cycle. Lingle would be on the short list of possible female VP picks.

        {"commentId":2563254,"threadId":"336427","contentId":"1769874","authorDomain":"ulicnyp001"}
          #5.10 - Sat Aug 23, 2008 9:49 PM EDT
          {"commentId":2564423,"authorDomain":"tombombadil"}

          One thing Obama did with the Biden pick is force the Republicans to put someone up for VP who can match up well with Biden in a debate or in terms of stature. Biden is a pit bull, and whoever is tough and experienced within the Republican party is getting a good look right now.

          Hhhhhhm. Maybe the McCain should pick Hillary Clinton! :-O

          {"commentId":2564423,"threadId":"336427","contentId":"1769874","authorDomain":"tombombadil"}
          • 2 votes
          #5.11 - Sun Aug 24, 2008 12:19 AM EDT
          {"commentId":2570144,"authorDomain":"jfxgillis"}

          Tom:

          I think the Biden pick cinches Romney as the Repub pick. They match up on the pit bull or "gaff" scale (see my latest) and the tactical considerations as on deliverable EVs are similarly of little or no concern.

          {"commentId":2570144,"threadId":"336427","contentId":"1769874","authorDomain":"jfxgillis"}
          • 2 votes
          #5.12 - Sun Aug 24, 2008 8:35 PM EDT
          Reply
          {"commentId":2528662,"authorDomain":"Jen56"}

          I have a question about the downballot situation -
          What are projections on the number of Democratic seats that will be picked up in both the House and the Senate?

          {"commentId":2528662,"threadId":"336427","contentId":"1769874","authorDomain":"Jen56"}
          • 7 votes
          Reply#6 - Thu Aug 21, 2008 12:41 PM EDT
          {"commentId":2531773,"authorDomain":"olderisbetter"}

          Electoral-vote.com keeps are running tally at the top of the page showing projections.

          {"commentId":2531773,"threadId":"336427","contentId":"1769874","authorDomain":"olderisbetter"}
          • 1 vote
          #6.1 - Thu Aug 21, 2008 4:13 PM EDT
          {"commentId":2531804,"authorDomain":"Jen56"}

          thanks! I didn't know about that website!

          {"commentId":2531804,"threadId":"336427","contentId":"1769874","authorDomain":"Jen56"}
            #6.2 - Thu Aug 21, 2008 4:15 PM EDT
            {"commentId":2532175,"authorDomain":"chucktodd"}

            Here is my range... Dems are likely to pick up a minimum of 5 senate seats... my guess is that if they start winning a 6th or a 7th... they'll get another 5 and get their 60... but that's a long shot.

            On the House side... I think the low range is 10 seats for the Dems and the ceiling is 25.

            {"commentId":2532175,"threadId":"336427","contentId":"1769874","authorDomain":"chucktodd"}
            • 8 votes
            #6.3 - Thu Aug 21, 2008 4:41 PM EDT
            {"commentId":2539342,"authorDomain":"tombombadil"}

            And if Obama implodes, ala Dukakis in 1988, how will that affect these optimistic projections?

            {"commentId":2539342,"threadId":"336427","contentId":"1769874","authorDomain":"tombombadil"}
            • 2 votes
            #6.4 - Fri Aug 22, 2008 1:32 AM EDT
            {"commentId":2550119,"authorDomain":"chucktodd"}

            I think even an Obama implosion would have Dems still pick up 4-5 Senate seats and 8-10 House seats. Too many GOP retirements

            {"commentId":2550119,"threadId":"336427","contentId":"1769874","authorDomain":"chucktodd"}
            • 2 votes
            #6.5 - Fri Aug 22, 2008 10:50 PM EDT
            Reply
            {"commentId":2528680,"authorDomain":"my428cobrajet"}

            Chuck, Where is all the media when it comes to Sen. McCain's statement concerning his apparent desire to reinstitute the draft? What would he intend to do with all the draftees? Who would be drafted...everyone or just the poor who can not afford college?

            {"commentId":2528680,"threadId":"336427","contentId":"1769874","authorDomain":"my428cobrajet"}
            • 23 votes
            Reply#7 - Thu Aug 21, 2008 12:42 PM EDT
            {"commentId":2530246,"authorDomain":"sales-19"}

            this worries me too. i have a stepson who just turned 18.

            {"commentId":2530246,"threadId":"336427","contentId":"1769874","authorDomain":"sales-19"}
            • 1 vote
            #7.1 - Thu Aug 21, 2008 2:28 PM EDT
            {"commentId":2530308,"authorDomain":"olderisbetter"}

            Why isn't the Obama camp picking up on this one?

            {"commentId":2530308,"threadId":"336427","contentId":"1769874","authorDomain":"olderisbetter"}
            • 1 vote
            #7.2 - Thu Aug 21, 2008 2:31 PM EDT
            {"commentId":2530750,"authorDomain":"my428cobrajet"}

            That is my concern as well...I have 3 sons, 2 stepsons all under 27 years old and a stepdaughter of 19. I do not want them drafted to invade Iran simply for political bravado or regime change, or anywhere else for that matter.

            {"commentId":2530750,"threadId":"336427","contentId":"1769874","authorDomain":"my428cobrajet"}
            • 1 vote
            #7.3 - Thu Aug 21, 2008 3:01 PM EDT
            {"commentId":2532092,"authorDomain":"rshaw143"}

            I agree where is the media on this topic? Let's talk to some young people. Pull up the stats. Call in some experts. Expose McCain for being a "war/millitary focused person only".

            {"commentId":2532092,"threadId":"336427","contentId":"1769874","authorDomain":"rshaw143"}
            • 1 vote
            #7.4 - Thu Aug 21, 2008 4:35 PM EDT
            {"commentId":2533056,"authorDomain":"Stevecb"}

            If McCain admits that he wants to go back to the draft, he might as well pack up and go back to one of his seven homes, if he can remember where they are. My question is, in that town hall talk where it was brought up, did McCain agree that we need to bring back the draft or that we need to treat our vet's better? I'm afraid it may be wishful thinking on the part of us Obama supporters, that the white haired wrinkly dude wants to bring back the draft. This would be a gift, no doubt. McCain would be giving away the election. Let's hope he wants to bring it back and that it never happens!!

            Gobama

            {"commentId":2533056,"threadId":"336427","contentId":"1769874","authorDomain":"Stevecb"}
              #7.5 - Thu Aug 21, 2008 5:32 PM EDT
              {"commentId":2539140,"authorDomain":"Stevecb"}

              If McCain admits that he wants to go back to the draft, he might as well pack up and go back to one of his seven homes, if he can remember where they are. My question is, in that town hall talk where it was brought up, did McCain agree that we need to bring back the draft or that we need to treat our vet's better? I'm afraid it may be wishful thinking on the part of us Obama supporters, that the white haired wrinkly dude wants to bring back the draft. This would be a gift, no doubt. McCain would be giving away the election. Let's hope he wants to bring it back and that it never happens!!

              Gobama

              {"commentId":2539140,"threadId":"336427","contentId":"1769874","authorDomain":"Stevecb"}
                #7.6 - Fri Aug 22, 2008 1:05 AM EDT
                {"commentId":2550142,"authorDomain":"chucktodd"}

                Look, I just didn't hear McCain come out for the draft. The question was very long and I think McCain got impatient and started agreeing with her early on. No politician in their right mind would call for a return of the draft. I think you'll see voluntary (or maybe even mandatory) national service that would include teaching, Peace Corps as well as military... but a return of the military draft? I think it's a stretch and I think McCain didn't come out for it; I think he didn't listen to the question all the way through. This won't be a popular answer on this thread, I know, but it's what I heard.

                {"commentId":2550142,"threadId":"336427","contentId":"1769874","authorDomain":"chucktodd"}
                • 3 votes
                #7.7 - Fri Aug 22, 2008 10:53 PM EDT
                {"commentId":2563389,"authorDomain":"ulicnyp001"}

                I think the return of the draft is an excellent idea, although not under the present conditions of America as the Imperial power of the world. Our world-wide commitments need to be sharply scaled back, and to keep the American military out of any conflicts in which we don't have a clearly defined strategic interest.

                The current Iraq war is an idiotic waste of good men and money, and every facet save the initial assault on Sadam was completely bungled, i.e. not securing arms dumps and cultural sites, and disbanding the Iraqi army, thus ensuring a large armed insurgency that could have been avoided.

                In consideration, I hardly begrudge people not wanting to see their grandsons being drafted. We are Rome, circa 400 A.D., and I'm not sure we can turn the clock back, but I'm hopeful.

                {"commentId":2563389,"threadId":"336427","contentId":"1769874","authorDomain":"ulicnyp001"}
                  #7.8 - Sat Aug 23, 2008 10:06 PM EDT
                  Reply
                  {"commentId":2528694,"authorDomain":"mousepainter-1"}

                  Am I waiting for something that will never happen? Obama had to put up with all the Wright stories, all the lies from republicans and yet McCain gets no negative coverage. What about the Keating 5 scandal? What about the fact that he's missed more votes than anyone? I have wondered why McCain no longer has media on his bus and has pretty much cut you guys off. Doesn't take a genius to figure out that he's hiding something. I think the one event a day, at which looks exhausted, has to read his stump speech (and does that poorly) and the weekends off are very telling. Is anyone looking into it? In other words, when will the magnifying glass be taken to McCain?

                  {"commentId":2528694,"threadId":"336427","contentId":"1769874","authorDomain":"mousepainter-1"}
                  • 17 votes
                  Reply#8 - Thu Aug 21, 2008 12:43 PM EDT
                  {"commentId":2529945,"authorDomain":"jevawter"}

                  Ditto. I think many people wonder this. I have not heard Keating Five mentioned once. He calls for action from congress but yet he has missed so many important votes. A lot of hipocracy in the McCain campaign. I vote for Shirley S. question to get answered.

                  {"commentId":2529945,"threadId":"336427","contentId":"1769874","authorDomain":"jevawter"}
                    #8.1 - Thu Aug 21, 2008 2:05 PM EDT
                    {"commentId":2532097,"authorDomain":"cadem1"}

                    I don't think he is hiding anything. Rove's people are now handling McCain's campaign and they can't afford to let reporters have full access to McCain. It seems every time he opens his mouth, he says something that gets him in trouble.

                    {"commentId":2532097,"threadId":"336427","contentId":"1769874","authorDomain":"cadem1"}
                    • 3 votes
                    #8.2 - Thu Aug 21, 2008 4:35 PM EDT
                    {"commentId":2550172,"authorDomain":"chucktodd"}

                    McCain's house gaffe is going to bring about a bunch of stories about his wealth. You'll see more coverage of both candidates on all the newscasts.

                    {"commentId":2550172,"threadId":"336427","contentId":"1769874","authorDomain":"chucktodd"}
                    • 2 votes
                    #8.3 - Fri Aug 22, 2008 10:57 PM EDT
                    {"commentId":2550673,"authorDomain":"tombombadil"}

                    If the Obama campaign makes much of Cindy McCain's houses, don't they run the risk of re-opening all of the Rezko allegations or even Obama's brother's housing arrangement in Kenya? Does Obama truly believe at this point he can shed his own "elitist" tag and pin it on McCain?

                    {"commentId":2550673,"threadId":"336427","contentId":"1769874","authorDomain":"tombombadil"}
                    • 1 vote
                    #8.4 - Sat Aug 23, 2008 12:07 AM EDT
                    {"commentId":2563482,"authorDomain":"ulicnyp001"}

                    This Presidential campaign has gone on for 2 years, and anyone would be tired of it at this point, even someone much younger than McCain. I certainly don't see McCain's answer on houses to be a gaffe, simply an honest answer. To see it as a gaffe is to confuse ones personal residence(s) with houses.

                    You will note, the question was not "How many homes to you and Mrs. McCain have, that you actually live in "?, but how many houses are owned. An investment question, one which a very wealthy person would have to ask the accountants about. I don't believe that anyone is suggesting that Senator McCain and Mrs. McCain live like the average American

                    {"commentId":2563482,"threadId":"336427","contentId":"1769874","authorDomain":"ulicnyp001"}
                      #8.5 - Sat Aug 23, 2008 10:18 PM EDT
                      Reply
                      {"commentId":2528701,"authorDomain":"TonyCSATX"}

                      Hi Chuck.

                      I am a fan of Obama, but right now I'm trying to find a way to not see Obama's campaign as blowing it. Is there any chance that Obama plans to go negative, but is playing the Ali rope-a-dope strategy? Ali let Foreman punch until he was tired, than came out blazing to win the match. Do you think the same thing can work in politics? Let McCain go negative, block as needed, then unload on McCain in the last eight weeks or so? I speculate that a big late flurry of negative campaigning might have more impact than a sustained negative campaign, so let McCain punch until he has made so many gaffes, lies, and politically incorrect jokes that he just can't defend himself against the onslaught. We all know negative campaigns work, but what works better? A long drag through the mud, or a final round surprise assault with a lot of fresh attacks?

                      {"commentId":2528701,"threadId":"336427","contentId":"1769874","authorDomain":"TonyCSATX"}
                      • 11 votes
                      Reply#9 - Thu Aug 21, 2008 12:43 PM EDT
                      {"commentId":2528821,"authorDomain":"Jen56"}

                      Hey Tony C!

                      Great observation - and you know, Obama doesn't even need to be all that "negative" (a la McCain's nasty comments and ads) - he just needs to state all the facts!

                      1) Start with his record - a lot of bloggers have posted how he voted on various legislation of interest to us "common folk." 2) Hammer on the Supreme Court issue - that may bring back a number of recalcitrant Hillary supporters.
                      3) Then talk about his views on privatizing Social Security.
                      Plenty of grist for the mill.

                      {"commentId":2528821,"threadId":"336427","contentId":"1769874","authorDomain":"Jen56"}
                      • 3 votes
                      #9.1 - Thu Aug 21, 2008 12:51 PM EDT
                      {"commentId":2529407,"authorDomain":"mc-smith"}

                      I agree - it sounds like his strategy during the primaries - remember last summer where everyone was asking the same headlines that they are today - "Where's Obama's Mojo?" - "Why Won't He Attack Clinton?" et al. Although with the new houses ad I do think he's beginning to push back...and he has been running negative ads in selected markets...Chicago's smart...I'd give him the benefit of the doubt on the tone.

                      {"commentId":2529407,"threadId":"336427","contentId":"1769874","authorDomain":"mc-smith"}
                        #9.2 - Thu Aug 21, 2008 1:30 PM EDT
                        {"commentId":2530556,"authorDomain":"UDbmas"}

                        Perhaps that (going after the GOP ticket's negatives) will be the first job for the Veep nominee? Obama can stay above the fray and address policy and let his No. 2 go for the jugular. In which case it is likely Biden.

                        {"commentId":2530556,"threadId":"336427","contentId":"1769874","authorDomain":"UDbmas"}
                        • 2 votes
                        #9.3 - Thu Aug 21, 2008 2:48 PM EDT
                        {"commentId":2531322,"authorDomain":"lcampbell"}

                        Huffington Post's current lead on the politics page refers to McCain playing th "POW" card. Does it seem that McCain is overplaying his POW experience abit ala Rudy Guiliani and 911?

                        {"commentId":2531322,"threadId":"336427","contentId":"1769874","authorDomain":"lcampbell"}
                        • 2 votes
                        #9.4 - Thu Aug 21, 2008 3:43 PM EDT
                        {"commentId":2531586,"authorDomain":"idivorni"}

                        Rope a dope would be such a losing political strategy. It gives the opposing campaign a chance to define you in a negative light. And considering that Obama is unknown to much of America, letting McCain set the first impression of Obama would be political suicide.

                        {"commentId":2531586,"threadId":"336427","contentId":"1769874","authorDomain":"idivorni"}
                        • 1 vote
                        #9.5 - Thu Aug 21, 2008 4:01 PM EDT
                        {"commentId":2532284,"authorDomain":"gregaugustaga"}
                        SouthernDemDeleted
                        {"commentId":2532672,"authorDomain":"star360"}

                        I think Obama's people are smart and will wait to drop a bomb on McCain when the time is right. Too many people are not listening yet- too early. If he did now people would forget.

                        {"commentId":2532672,"threadId":"336427","contentId":"1769874","authorDomain":"star360"}
                        • 1 vote
                        #9.7 - Thu Aug 21, 2008 5:08 PM EDT
                        {"commentId":2533619,"authorDomain":"TonyCSATX"}

                        Divorni: Well, I didn't say he doesn't do anything, he has to block punches. But he can do what he has been doing, defining himself with speeches and policy positions and town halls, just don't go too negative. So when he does go negative people aren't bored with it already. I agree with Harmony1812 -- If people aren't listening until mid September anyway, why use up all your ammunition?

                        {"commentId":2533619,"threadId":"336427","contentId":"1769874","authorDomain":"TonyCSATX"}
                        • 1 vote
                        #9.8 - Thu Aug 21, 2008 6:06 PM EDT
                        {"commentId":2550194,"authorDomain":"chucktodd"}

                        Ask me again after the Dem convention. I'll be curious to see if the Obama campaign has some tough words for McCain during the convention. Will we see some rhetoric similar to what Bush's convention had for Kerry in '04? If we do, then I think you'll see a candidate and campaign ready for the fall. If you don't, you may want to start to worry.

                        {"commentId":2550194,"threadId":"336427","contentId":"1769874","authorDomain":"chucktodd"}
                        • 2 votes
                        #9.9 - Fri Aug 22, 2008 10:59 PM EDT
                        Reply
                        {"commentId":2528716,"authorDomain":"pcayting"}

                        Chuck,

                        You said on MTP this week that the McCain campaign was feeling good about where things are in the campaign right now. Do you share their assessment? It seems to me that the race really hasn't been altered that much. The attacks seem to have moved some soft Obama support into undecided and McCain's shored up a bit of his base, but the fundamentals haven't changed much. Might their optimism actually be good for Obama in the long-term in that it lulls the McCain campaign into a false sense of security, whereas they really need a "game-changing" event. (Maybe that McCain picks a safe VP choice instead of something unexpected?)

                        Also, doesn't Obama's talk of a VP who's "not about ego, self-aggrandizement, getting their names in the press" really point away from Biden? Shouldn't Jack Reed be getting more attention now?

                        {"commentId":2528716,"threadId":"336427","contentId":"1769874","authorDomain":"pcayting"}
                        • 5 votes
                        Reply#10 - Thu Aug 21, 2008 12:44 PM EDT
                        {"commentId":2556441,"authorDomain":"chucktodd"}

                        Yeah, I think the McCain folks have reason to feel good... They have turned this race into a referendum on Obama. Now, it may turn out 50%+1 of the country and 273-worth of electoral votes decide Obama's ready for the job but the onus is on him now more than ever; And the spotlight is brighter thanks to McCain so that means he can't make as many mistakes as he did in the '07 part of the Dem primary season.

                        {"commentId":2556441,"threadId":"336427","contentId":"1769874","authorDomain":"chucktodd"}
                        • 3 votes
                        #10.1 - Sat Aug 23, 2008 10:40 AM EDT
                        {"commentId":2563526,"authorDomain":"ulicnyp001"}

                        Chuck. I'd agree that McCain should feel pretty good at this point, with the Biden VP choice. Having the race being turned into an Obama referendum was the doing of the media and it's saturation coverage of Obama.

                        {"commentId":2563526,"threadId":"336427","contentId":"1769874","authorDomain":"ulicnyp001"}
                        • 1 vote
                        #10.2 - Sat Aug 23, 2008 10:24 PM EDT
                        Reply
                        {"commentId":2528728,"authorDomain":"alfonsos"}

                        At last Saturday's forum with both candidates, McCain gave an interesting account on his Christian faith and how it helped him during his time as a POW, involving a guard who drew a cross in the sand. However, many blogs have pointed out that his story is oddly similar to one by Alexander Solzhenitsyn ("The Gulag Archipelago") which was released back in 1973. I'm curious to know why this story hasn't gotten any traction or verification by the mainstream media. Plagiarizing a story such as this one, with such strong religious emphasis, seems like it would be awfully damaging to McCain.

                        {"commentId":2528728,"threadId":"336427","contentId":"1769874","authorDomain":"alfonsos"}
                        • 9 votes
                        Reply#11 - Thu Aug 21, 2008 12:44 PM EDT
                        {"commentId":2539372,"authorDomain":"tombombadil"}

                        Since the Leftist blogs, such as DailyKos, have little credibility, and since the allegations are far-fetched, and since McCain's story differs in many ways from Solzhenitsyn's ... no serious news organization is going to touch it with a ten-foot pole. Unless, of course, they want to reinforce the view that they are taking dictation from the extreme Far Left.

                        {"commentId":2539372,"threadId":"336427","contentId":"1769874","authorDomain":"tombombadil"}
                        • 2 votes
                        #11.1 - Fri Aug 22, 2008 1:36 AM EDT
                        {"commentId":2548363,"authorDomain":"cranegirl"}

                        Tom Bombadill:

                        When it's a lie, the story changes over time.

                        I heard a VARIATION of this story 20 years ago. From 84-87, I attended a small Christian school called Grand Canyon College here in Phoenix. We had mandatory chapel. At one of chapels, John McCain spoke. I don't recall the exact date but I believe it was when he was still a Congressman, campaigning for his first Senate seat (1986 election).

                        I recall the speech so vividly because he brought me to tears with his story of Christmas and a Cross being drawn in the sand.

                        He emotionally retold a story about one of his guards who came into the darkness of his cell where other guards couldn't see him. He picked up a stick, and traced the Sign of the Cross in the sand. He then bent over and with his hand, he rubbed out the dirt to eliminate the cross he had just drawn. He then walked away without ever saying a word. McCain told us this act of human kindness told him there was something greater than the Evil he and his fellow POWs were enduring. Most importantly, he knew this was his guard's way of reminding him to keep his Faith strong as through Christ, anything was possible.

                        The story McCain told to Pastor Rick Warren was similar. But, he said it took place outside his cell in the courtyard -- not in his cell in the darkness. He also said he drew the cross in the sand with his sandal -- not with a stick. And, he rubbed it out with his sandal -- not his hand. Here's the exact quote.

                        The [gun guard] came walking up. … With his sandal on the dirt in the courtyard, he drew a cross. And he stood there, and a minute later he rubbed it out, and walked away. For a minute there, there was just two Christians worshipping together. I'll never forget that moment.

                        I recall the story so vividly as it so touched me when I first heard it. Imagine my surprise Saturday night when the story changed just a little bit. I wondered why the discrepancies. Now I know. Huffington Post and the Politico are reporting that the story was possibly plagiarized from Alexander Solzhenitsyn's book, "The Gulag Archipelago." Here's the excerpt from his book:

                        Slowly he looked up and saw a skinny old prisoner squat down beside him. The man said nothing. Instead, he used a stick to trace in the dirt the sign of the Cross. The man then got back up and returned to his work. As Solzhenitsyn stared at the Cross drawn in the dirt his entire perspective changed. He knew he was only one man against the all-powerful Soviet empire. Yet he knew there was something greater than the evil he saw in the prison camp, something greater than the Soviet Union. He knew that hope for all people was represented by that simple Cross. Through the power of the Cross, anything was possible

                        As with Hillary Clinton's lie about the Bosnian sniper fire, here's one more example of how the story always changes when you tell a lie. Perhaps McCain thought us silly college students wouldn't remember his story that brought us all to tears. But just like those Christians who heard it for the first time Saturday night, it was a touching story.

                        Recently, I've thought of the story often when McCain proudly asserts that he doesn't like to use his POW times to help him get elected. I've told many how he used his POW service over 20 years ago to get elected here in Arizona. Now it seems, the story wasn't true -- then or now!

                        {"commentId":2548363,"threadId":"336427","contentId":"1769874","authorDomain":"cranegirl"}
                          #11.2 - Fri Aug 22, 2008 6:53 PM EDT
                          {"commentId":2550711,"authorDomain":"tombombadil"}

                          That's it? You found a couple of minor variations in a story he has told dozens and dozens of times? Surely you know he has told that story more than twice.

                          Your evidence doesn't quite rise to the level of "proof" that the story is a lie or plagarism. Having personally heard former POW Admiral Jeremiah Denton describe unusual acts of kindness or faith in Vietnamese prison camps, I believe that such acts do sometimes occur, even in unlikely places such as a gulag or Vietnam.

                          {"commentId":2550711,"threadId":"336427","contentId":"1769874","authorDomain":"tombombadil"}
                          • 1 vote
                          #11.3 - Sat Aug 23, 2008 12:14 AM EDT
                          {"commentId":2556484,"authorDomain":"chucktodd"}

                          I think this game of gotcha on personal stories is going to get old for a lot of folks on both sides of this campaign.

                          {"commentId":2556484,"threadId":"336427","contentId":"1769874","authorDomain":"chucktodd"}
                          • 3 votes
                          #11.4 - Sat Aug 23, 2008 10:44 AM EDT
                          {"commentId":2559191,"authorDomain":"tombombadil"}

                          It does get old, for both sides. And yet, as an electorate we seem to collectively be addicted to it at the same time. We (and when I say "we," I include myself) sometimes allow our lower natures to overcome our better angels when it comes to political brawling.

                          {"commentId":2559191,"threadId":"336427","contentId":"1769874","authorDomain":"tombombadil"}
                          • 2 votes
                          #11.5 - Sat Aug 23, 2008 2:00 PM EDT
                          {"commentId":2560270,"authorDomain":"cranegirl"}

                          Ah, I didn't open this door. I've kept this story to myself since college -- even when McCain incorrectly & repeatedly asserted that he's never used his POW experience while campaigning.

                          However, McCain opened the door by telling a different version of his POW story -- in a Church of all places.

                          You may not care if your President lies. You may not care if your President distorts or embellishes his POW record & his Christian experience. I do. And I suspect other Christians, others in the military, and other Americans would as well.

                          I adore & respect Chuck but this game of "Gotcha" isn't possible unless a candidate lies.

                          {"commentId":2560270,"threadId":"336427","contentId":"1769874","authorDomain":"cranegirl"}
                          • 1 vote
                          #11.6 - Sat Aug 23, 2008 3:43 PM EDT
                          Reply
                          {"commentId":2528833,"authorDomain":"TonyCSATX"}

                          Rachel Maddow got a show! Hurray! Speaking of which, does a "political director" direct anything? Is it a managerial position? If you helped Rachel get her show, thank you very much, I am a big fan and will add the hour back to my lineup (I cancelled "Verdict" long ago, and cancelled RTTWH a month ago). What is Rachel's show going to be called?

                          {"commentId":2528833,"threadId":"336427","contentId":"1769874","authorDomain":"TonyCSATX"}
                          • 6 votes
                          Reply#12 - Thu Aug 21, 2008 12:52 PM EDT
                          {"commentId":2556512,"authorDomain":"chucktodd"}

                          Actually I do... it's a behind-the-scenes job editorially, helping to shape stories we cover on both network and cable; making sure we're in place for big stories (like helping to decide when to start staking out VP candidates and which candidates to stake out).

                          {"commentId":2556512,"threadId":"336427","contentId":"1769874","authorDomain":"chucktodd"}
                          • 2 votes
                          #12.1 - Sat Aug 23, 2008 10:46 AM EDT
                          Reply
                          {"commentId":2528842,"authorDomain":"LenoreK"}

                          1) What is your take on the suburban Chicago 10th Congressional District race between Mark Kirk and Dan Seals?

                          2) When Obama responds to the McCain camp's attacks in a speech or town hall, should he really be listing in detail all of McCain's ngeative remarks for his audience? ("they'll say this about me, they'll tell you that about me") Isn't Obama just reinforcing his opposition's message that way, even if followed by his counterattacks?

                          3) Considering how busy you are, why is making time do this Q & A important to you?

                          As always, thanks.

                          {"commentId":2528842,"threadId":"336427","contentId":"1769874","authorDomain":"LenoreK"}
                          • 5 votes
                          Reply#13 - Thu Aug 21, 2008 12:53 PM EDT
                          {"commentId":2530271,"authorDomain":"lindacozby"}

                          I do believe it gives Chuck a different perspective, not just the Beltway view, I may be wrong.
                          Get into our minds without the back and forth that is normal on these blogs. A lot of people here with Chuck ask some real questions.

                          {"commentId":2530271,"threadId":"336427","contentId":"1769874","authorDomain":"lindacozby"}
                          • 1 vote
                          #13.1 - Thu Aug 21, 2008 2:29 PM EDT
                          {"commentId":2537399,"authorDomain":"mhbmeb"}

                          Hi Lenore,

                          I am also amazed Chuck takes the time to do this. It is really pretty amazing that we have this kind of access to someone with such great knowledge and insight.

                          He definitely deserves a huge thank you and a case of beer for his efforts here. That kind of attitude is exactly why Chuck has a fan club! :)

                          Elaine

                          {"commentId":2537399,"threadId":"336427","contentId":"1769874","authorDomain":"mhbmeb"}
                          • 3 votes
                          #13.2 - Thu Aug 21, 2008 10:26 PM EDT
                          {"commentId":2556567,"authorDomain":"chucktodd"}

                          If the Dems can't knock off Kirk in the 10th this cycle with Obama at the top of the ticket, then they'll never beat him. He's more vulnerable this year than he has been since he replaced John Porter a while back; Kirk's VERY good at voting his district over his party or he wouldn't still be there. Should be an interesting rematch this year with Seals, who is getting real national party support this time,

                          As for why do I do this? Because it's a way to exercise the political brain; get a feel for what questions are being asked; being a voyeur on the debates many of you have with each other. I wish I could spend more time each week but it is a bit time-consuming. Still, I've gotten plenty of ideas for columns, analysis and for First Read just from doing these chats.

                          {"commentId":2556567,"threadId":"336427","contentId":"1769874","authorDomain":"chucktodd"}
                          • 4 votes
                          #13.3 - Sat Aug 23, 2008 10:50 AM EDT
                          {"commentId":2557036,"authorDomain":"LenoreK"}

                          Thank you, Chuck! We really appreciate you, especially after all your work last night into today. It's fantastic that you do this.

                          {"commentId":2557036,"threadId":"336427","contentId":"1769874","authorDomain":"LenoreK"}
                          • 2 votes
                          #13.4 - Sat Aug 23, 2008 11:22 AM EDT
                          Reply
                          {"commentId":2528850,"authorDomain":"justdoit652000"}

                          Chuck

                          Can you comment on why the mainstream media never talks about either John McCain's age or his connection to the Keating five and the Savings and Loan debacle? Is the media really that afraid of seeming biased that they ignore those issues much less the failure to know the differerence between Suni and @!$%#e and even locations on a map?? Also is it true that mcCain was ranked 894 out of 899 in his class and should we not know that??
                          Thanks!

                          {"commentId":2528850,"threadId":"336427","contentId":"1769874","authorDomain":"justdoit652000"}
                          • 4 votes
                          Reply#14 - Thu Aug 21, 2008 12:53 PM EDT
                          {"commentId":2557178,"authorDomain":"chucktodd"}

                          For the media to jump on controversial stories like this, it takes the opponent to push them hard on the media... I think the Obama campaign has been very hesitant to bring up either topic

                          {"commentId":2557178,"threadId":"336427","contentId":"1769874","authorDomain":"chucktodd"}
                          • 2 votes
                          #14.1 - Sat Aug 23, 2008 11:30 AM EDT
                          Reply
                          {"commentId":2528901,"authorDomain":"russpix"}

                          Comment Preview:

                          Chuck,

                          Thanks for the consistently good analysis; many of us rely on it. Recent stories tell of the disparity in coverage of the candidates, the idea that Obama has received more "face time" in the press than has McCain. But as I read it, the vast majority of stories on Obama are things like "why isn't he leading by more?" or "Obama's (fill in the blank... women, white men, etc.) problem." Is the focus of coverage truly trumped by its sheer volume?

                          Like all outlets, MSNBC played the "Paris Hilton" ad over and over and over. Will screen media afford the same free time to Obama's ad about McCain's many houses?

                          Thanks

                          {"commentId":2528901,"threadId":"336427","contentId":"1769874","authorDomain":"russpix"}
                          • 5 votes
                          Reply#15 - Thu Aug 21, 2008 12:55 PM EDT
                          {"commentId":2557218,"authorDomain":"chucktodd"}

                          I think you'll see a lot of coverage of the Houses and the wealth of McCain

                          {"commentId":2557218,"threadId":"336427","contentId":"1769874","authorDomain":"chucktodd"}
                          • 2 votes
                          #15.1 - Sat Aug 23, 2008 11:32 AM EDT
                          Reply
                          {"commentId":2529009,"authorDomain":"Jen56"}

                          Now that Obama appears to be "going negative," does that mean that those 527's that pledged not to run negative ads as he had asked are now released from their pledge?

                          What do you think will happen, Chuck? Are we going to see a "landslide" of negative ads?

                          {"commentId":2529009,"threadId":"336427","contentId":"1769874","authorDomain":"Jen56"}
                            Reply#16 - Thu Aug 21, 2008 1:03 PM EDT
                            {"commentId":2531835,"authorDomain":"TonyCSATX"}

                            I thought the reason he didn't want the 527's to go is because he wants to completely control the message. So I doubt the Obama campaign considers them released, if anything negative ads need to be even MORE tightly controlled by the campaign, to strike the right blaance between negativity and politically incorrect slash and burn. Obama doesn't want to have to spend any day or part of a day talking about ads or answering questions about ads he had no control over. If you publish it yourself, you don't get blind-sided into gaffes and big mistakes. Or at least it is far less likely!

                            {"commentId":2531835,"threadId":"336427","contentId":"1769874","authorDomain":"TonyCSATX"}
                            • 1 vote
                            #16.1 - Thu Aug 21, 2008 4:17 PM EDT
                            {"commentId":2557257,"authorDomain":"chucktodd"}

                            I think this is going to be a VERY negative TV campaign from here to the end... But, no, I don't expect too many Obama 527s; he dried up the money.

                            {"commentId":2557257,"threadId":"336427","contentId":"1769874","authorDomain":"chucktodd"}
                            • 2 votes
                            #16.2 - Sat Aug 23, 2008 11:34 AM EDT
                            Reply
                            {"commentId":2529040,"authorDomain":"ramona918"}

                            Hiya Chuck! Couple of things....

                            1) A blogger on another site said ""We need an experienced person, not someone like Senator Obama who is one of the least experienced candidates for president in the last hundred years, if not the least experienced" Can you please put Obama's experience into some historical perspective?

                            2) One hit of "veep-crack" - could Clark be the dark horse we're not watching?

                            Thanks as always!

                            {"commentId":2529040,"threadId":"336427","contentId":"1769874","authorDomain":"ramona918"}
                            • 8 votes
                            Reply#17 - Thu Aug 21, 2008 1:06 PM EDT
                            {"commentId":2532479,"authorDomain":"markpetergray"}

                            Personally I think its difficult to grade experience. If we are talking national or statewide elective political experience, then save the purely military guys and Hoover, there can't be many with less experience. You would think at least. But take FDR, his experience for being President was being an assisstant secretary of the Navy, 1 term as Governor of New York, and 1 term in the NY state legislature, and a run at the Vice Presidency. Woodrow Wilson had spent 2 years as Governor of New Jersey, Warren Harding had 1 term in the Senate behind him. So its not historically the truth that you need tons of experience. (And I didn't even mention Lincoln!)

                            Maybe Bill had it right- is anyone ready?

                            {"commentId":2532479,"threadId":"336427","contentId":"1769874","authorDomain":"markpetergray"}
                              #17.1 - Thu Aug 21, 2008 4:57 PM EDT
                              {"commentId":2532592,"authorDomain":"star360"}

                              History shows that the best presidents in general have not had much experience.

                              {"commentId":2532592,"threadId":"336427","contentId":"1769874","authorDomain":"star360"}
                              • 1 vote
                              #17.2 - Thu Aug 21, 2008 5:03 PM EDT
                              {"commentId":2557360,"authorDomain":"chucktodd"}

                              experience in government doesn't correlate to presidential greatness. Timing is everything; ask Reagan, Truman, Hoover etc...

                              Obama's 12-year elective office career is actually about average for a successful presidential candidate. Clinton had 14 years in office before winning; Bush had just 6 years; Reagan had 8 years plus a presidential run (so I say 12 years)... Kennedy was in year 12... Nixon was about 14 years... anyway, Atlantic and National Journal columnist Jonathan Rauch did a great study on this about years in elective politics and success on the presidential trail. Check it out.

                              {"commentId":2557360,"threadId":"336427","contentId":"1769874","authorDomain":"chucktodd"}
                              • 4 votes
                              #17.3 - Sat Aug 23, 2008 11:40 AM EDT
                              Reply
                              {"commentId":2529051,"authorDomain":"jcunningha"}

                              Chuck: Do you feel as I and many others that the Dems seem in a total state of disarray with the convention less than a week away. By all rights this election should have been a given for the Dems, they just seem intent on giving this to the GOP. Newsvine has been abuzz with this scenario or that taking place at the convention, you would think at this juncture the platform should be fixed, future policies stated and an outline for implementation of suggested programs posted. Obama seems to be either backing off or changing positions on a regular basis, is he not who we had hoped he was?

                              {"commentId":2529051,"threadId":"336427","contentId":"1769874","authorDomain":"jcunningha"}
                                Reply#18 - Thu Aug 21, 2008 1:07 PM EDT
                                {"commentId":2535510,"authorDomain":"tatro101"}

                                Obama is what Obama is, a pragmatist. He makes decisions based on reality. Obama can be cut throat when he needs to be. Him "changing" positions is just an example of that. If you really want him to win, then we all need to take a deep breath and let the man win. He has run an outstanding campaign up until this point, so I think we should give him the benefit of the doubt, and let him do what he thinks he has to do to win.

                                {"commentId":2535510,"threadId":"336427","contentId":"1769874","authorDomain":"tatro101"}
                                • 1 vote
                                #18.1 - Thu Aug 21, 2008 8:20 PM EDT
                                {"commentId":2557540,"authorDomain":"chucktodd"}

                                I do think we in the media will get a positive/negative impression by how organized the conventions are for each respective nominee.

                                {"commentId":2557540,"threadId":"336427","contentId":"1769874","authorDomain":"chucktodd"}
                                • 2 votes
                                #18.2 - Sat Aug 23, 2008 11:53 AM EDT
                                Reply
                                {"commentId":2529059,"authorDomain":"mc-smith"}

                                Chuck reposting my two questions from last week:

                                First: I wanted to know how much of a swing state Colorado really is. It seems to me that the hype surrounding it is the same as is usually attributed to a swing state I used to live in - Missouri - and there is always a roo-haha about shifting demographics or cranking out the vote in St. Louis or the suburbs (those outer 'burbs are mondo republican fyi!) and yet it still goes republican...time after time. Is that how you see Colorado? Without it or Virginia or Ohio it seems Barack has a very hard time to the white house...so I just wanted to know your realistic assessment.

                                Second: You have said before that the polls you trust the most are the internal polls from the campaigns...but for the most part we - in the public - don't see those (unless they show a blow out and the campaign leaks them for that purpose)...so in the absence of that which national polls do you trust the best - and are we better off looking at state by state polls for electoral projections or should we pick a really good national pollster and read electoral projections into the margins?

                                Thanks - and I really miss you in the morning on MSNBC during the olympics!!

                                Mark.

                                {"commentId":2529059,"threadId":"336427","contentId":"1769874","authorDomain":"mc-smith"}
                                  Reply#19 - Thu Aug 21, 2008 1:07 PM EDT
                                  {"commentId":2529062,"authorDomain":"mkl263"}

                                  Hi Chuck,

                                  In Obama's speech on the economy at Cooper Union in March he spoke at length on the role of government in market regulation. He explained the failures of both Republican and Democratic administrations in allowing Wall Street to set the economic agenda notably through actions like Reagan's Depository Institutions Act of 1982 and Clinton's repealing of the Glass-Steagall Act of 1933 and replacing it with the Financial Services Modernization Act of 1999. This shift allowed the creation of giant mergers and financial institutions including the like of CitiGroup and Bear Stearns, as well as the merging of commercial and investment banking which, through high-risk mortgage lending, also helped lead to the subprime crisis.

                                  My question is this: While Obama's rhetoric concerning the economy sounds markedly different than the previous Democratic party line through promoting such government sanctioned regulatory measures, do you think he is proposing a real economic shift? Is this a move away from neoliberalism towards a more proactive government program? If so why is Bob Rubin, who helped Clinton repeal Glass Steagall along with a $300 million lobbying effort, sitting on Obama's board of economic advisers? Is this straight talk about Obama's policies or will we see more moderation as the general campaign drags on such as what occurred with all the NAFTA talk? Thanks for your time, you're my favorite analyst in the biz.

                                  {"commentId":2529062,"threadId":"336427","contentId":"1769874","authorDomain":"mkl263"}
                                  • 3 votes
                                  Reply#20 - Thu Aug 21, 2008 1:07 PM EDT
                                  {"commentId":2557568,"authorDomain":"chucktodd"}

                                  I think Obama is a real blank slate on the economy; I think his instinct is that he's a globalist, a free-trader; but the populist in him says, challenge these trade agreements, get a bit more protectionist. We just won't know for sure; he wants to compromise with business, like Bill Clinton, but the rank-n-file of his party won't be nearly as forgiving of Obama if he becomes too close to business, than they were of Clinton. Different times, different expectations.

                                  {"commentId":2557568,"threadId":"336427","contentId":"1769874","authorDomain":"chucktodd"}
                                  • 2 votes
                                  #20.1 - Sat Aug 23, 2008 11:55 AM EDT
                                  Reply
                                  {"commentId":2529071,"authorDomain":"secrets1"}

                                  How come we only hear about the Dem and Reb parties? Why isn't the news media talking about the other candidates that are running for president? I truly believe that if the news covered the other people running it would give the American people more to choose from, other than the two want-a-bes.

                                  {"commentId":2529071,"threadId":"336427","contentId":"1769874","authorDomain":"secrets1"}
                                    Reply#21 - Thu Aug 21, 2008 1:07 PM EDT
                                    {"commentId":2557580,"authorDomain":"chucktodd"}

                                    sorry, i think the internet gives a third party candidate a chance to prove critical mass. Neither Bob Barr nor Ralph Nader have proven it.

                                    {"commentId":2557580,"threadId":"336427","contentId":"1769874","authorDomain":"chucktodd"}
                                    • 2 votes
                                    #21.1 - Sat Aug 23, 2008 11:56 AM EDT
                                    {"commentId":2559312,"authorDomain":"tombombadil"}

                                    Very good point, Chuck. Perhaps that's what made Ron Paul relevant, was his ability - against all odds - to galvanize support via the web and other "non-traditional" means. Barr and Nader haven't come close to that kind of grassroots support this year.

                                    {"commentId":2559312,"threadId":"336427","contentId":"1769874","authorDomain":"tombombadil"}
                                    • 2 votes
                                    #21.2 - Sat Aug 23, 2008 2:11 PM EDT
                                    Reply
                                    {"commentId":2529073,"authorDomain":"onlineapps"}

                                    If McCain does win and the Democrats get a majority in Congress, could that be a good thing for the GOP? The Dems will most likely block everything McCain tries, giving the GOP the firepower for more "obstructionist Congress" ammo.

                                    {"commentId":2529073,"threadId":"336427","contentId":"1769874","authorDomain":"onlineapps"}
                                    • 5 votes
                                    Reply#22 - Thu Aug 21, 2008 1:08 PM EDT
                                    {"commentId":2539354,"authorDomain":"bengrimm"}

                                    It goes both ways -- Bush has blocked or said that he would block everything the Dems have tried. Right now it's Bush who's the obstructionist; so if McCain won, that torch would simply pass to him (unless, of course, McCain works with both parties to reach compromise as he always says he will).

                                    {"commentId":2539354,"threadId":"336427","contentId":"1769874","authorDomain":"bengrimm"}
                                    • 1 vote
                                    #22.1 - Fri Aug 22, 2008 1:34 AM EDT
                                    {"commentId":2557598,"authorDomain":"chucktodd"}

                                    McCain will want to sign bills... so I think he'll do everything he can to work with a Dem Congress... But whether he succeeds depends on what issues he tackles first: global warming? he'll get an early victory; immigration? maybe that issue too. But Social Security? no chance.

                                    {"commentId":2557598,"threadId":"336427","contentId":"1769874","authorDomain":"chucktodd"}
                                    • 2 votes
                                    #22.2 - Sat Aug 23, 2008 11:58 AM EDT
                                    Reply
                                    {"commentId":2529074,"authorDomain":"mdmd"}

                                    Hi, Chuck,

                                    Some of us worried that there would be some kind of "October trouble" in Iraq/Iran to swing the vote to the right because of a manufactured heightened sense of fear. Things are relatively stable there... So how to swing the vote ? Manufacture another fear-inducing situation. The situation in Georgia/ Russia is so complicated it is difficult to understand with media soundbites, but it produces the sense of fear the right has used to control the power. Is this their October moment, and did the right (bush, cheney, etc) help to make it happen ?

                                    {"commentId":2529074,"threadId":"336427","contentId":"1769874","authorDomain":"mdmd"}
                                    • 3 votes
                                    Reply#23 - Thu Aug 21, 2008 1:08 PM EDT
                                    {"commentId":2558274,"authorDomain":"chucktodd"}

                                    I wonder if voters are becoming numb to these so-called October surprises... just a thought

                                    {"commentId":2558274,"threadId":"336427","contentId":"1769874","authorDomain":"chucktodd"}
                                    • 3 votes
                                    #23.1 - Sat Aug 23, 2008 12:46 PM EDT
                                    Reply
                                    {"commentId":2529080,"authorDomain":"kflaherty"}

                                    First of all; hurray for the Rachel Maddow Show!

                                    Second, Is there any chance, in your opinion that Obama will pick Wes Clark for VP?

                                    If not, do you think it was a bad move not to invite him to speak at the Democratic Convention?

                                    Thanks

                                    {"commentId":2529080,"threadId":"336427","contentId":"1769874","authorDomain":"kflaherty"}
                                    • 4 votes
                                    Reply#24 - Thu Aug 21, 2008 1:08 PM EDT
                                    {"commentId":2532168,"authorDomain":"star360"}

                                    I have always thought he would be a great pick. His resume is stellar. McCain would be shakin' and tempted to salute him. What he said about MCain's POW experience is true and should be elaborated on.

                                    {"commentId":2532168,"threadId":"336427","contentId":"1769874","authorDomain":"star360"}
                                      #24.1 - Thu Aug 21, 2008 4:41 PM EDT
                                      {"commentId":2532251,"authorDomain":"star360"}

                                      I have always thought he would be a great pick. His resume is stellar. McCain would be shakin' and tempted to salute him. What he said about MCain's POW experience is true and should be elaborated on.

                                      {"commentId":2532251,"threadId":"336427","contentId":"1769874","authorDomain":"star360"}
                                        #24.2 - Thu Aug 21, 2008 4:45 PM EDT
                                        Reply
                                        {"commentId":2529233,"authorDomain":"nina1"}

                                        Chuck,

                                        There has been so much talk about Obama not being experienced, but Bush and Cheney were experienced and in my opinion destroyed the country. As a Black man, less experience, and misunderstood, do you really feel Obama has a solid chance of being President of the United States?
                                        Also, do you really think the Clinton's are helping? If Barack had been as slow as the Clinton's getting on board, he would have been lynched in the press by now.

                                        {"commentId":2529233,"threadId":"336427","contentId":"1769874","authorDomain":"nina1"}
                                        • 8 votes
                                        Reply#25 - Thu Aug 21, 2008 1:18 PM EDT
                                        {"commentId":2530912,"authorDomain":"frannie7"}
                                        Opal88Deleted
                                        {"commentId":2535689,"authorDomain":"tatro101"}

                                        I totally agree. All we keep hearing about is how Obama hasn't tried hard enough to retire Clintons debt. Well, from my perspective, why should he. A lot of her supporters are saying they wont vote for Obama, and might switch to McCain. Also, it hasnt seemed to me that the Clintons have really been putting to much effort into helping Obama unite the party. Clinton just keeps fanning the flames of her bitter supporters, and in fact I think she has made things worse. So, why should Obama help someone retire their debt, when she isnt even helping him unite the party. All of her supporters want to vote for McCain, then shouldnt it be the McCain supporters who help out the Clintons pay down their debt? I mean if they are not going to vote for Obama, then why should any Obama supporters try and help Clinton pay off her debt? Finally, I think that Clinton wants Obama to lose. She would never say that, but deep down inside I think she is hoping Obama goes down. Then she can say I told you so. But what she doesnt realize is that if she is part of the reason why Obama loses, then none of Obama's supporters would support her if she ran. So, she would have no shot at winning anyway.

                                        {"commentId":2535689,"threadId":"336427","contentId":"1769874","authorDomain":"tatro101"}
                                        • 3 votes
                                        #25.2 - Thu Aug 21, 2008 8:31 PM EDT
                                        {"commentId":2537765,"authorDomain":"Jen56"}

                                        Note how she is still referring to him even today as her "opponent." And she sounded like she was whining when she mentioned how she has done more for 'her opponent' than any other person has done for someone who beat them.

                                        I know she's doing small fundraisers for Obama, but she's not going after John McCain on his behalf. Of course, she really wouldn't, as she is quite friendly with McCain. But in any case, the message is off - why isn't she talking about him instead of herself? Why does this not sound very resoundingly in support of Obama?

                                        {"commentId":2537765,"threadId":"336427","contentId":"1769874","authorDomain":"Jen56"}
                                        • 1 vote
                                        #25.3 - Thu Aug 21, 2008 10:49 PM EDT
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